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Why +2°C matters
[1] IPCC Working Group II Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report, pp 66-67
[2] Climate Change: Medium and longer term emission reduction strategies, including targets – Council conclusions, Council of the European Union, Information note 7242/05, March 11, 2005.; European Parliament resolution of 21 May 2008 on the scientific facts of climate change:
findings and recommendations for decision-making (2008/2001(INI))
Parliament on right track, but must go further
[1] http://www.panda.org/about_wwf/where_we_work/europe/what_we_do/wwf_europe_environment/news/index.cfm?uNewsID=145121
EU proposes to miss its own target!
[1] Proposal based on March 2007 European Council Conclusions: European Council Presidency Conclusions 8/9 March 2007
[2] IPCC Working Group III Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report, p 776; IPCC Working Group II Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report, p 15.; To estimate the global impact of the reduction targets as proposed in the EU ETS and Effort Sharing draft legislation we assumed that all industrialised nations take on comparable targets as those proposed for the EU.
From the IPCC report, the scenario that gives us the best odds to keep global average temperature rise below 2°C is one that stabilises at around 450ppm CO2-eq (recent reports imply that even this level may not be good enough).
Therefore all Annex I countries must reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 within the 25-40% reduction range, compared to 1990.
On top of this a substantial deviation from business as usual emissions is needed in fast growing non-Annex I countries. The latter can only be achieved by significant (financial) support from Annex I.
By allowing the use of Off-setting in a 30% 2020 reduction target, the proposed EU climate legislation is not consistent with keeping the global average temperature rise below 2°C.
At least 30% cuts needed in European emissions
[1] IPCC Working Group III Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report, p 776; IPCC Working Group II Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report, p 15
[2] 1/CP.13 (Bali Action Plan) agreed at the 13th Conference of the Parties of the UNFCCC in Bali on 16th December 2007
Italy and Poland fail to scupper EU climate plans
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